
Showing posts with label stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stocks. Show all posts
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
EWZ
EWZ, iShares Brazil ETF, snapped up today to cling to it's 200EMA. It's also printing a bullish momentum divergence.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008
watching
PBW is a clean energy ETF with solar holdings that we all have on our watchlists.
SLX is a steel ETF that might be a good play this week as we saw some big moves today in AKS, RS, MTL (bullish hammer after capitulation?), X, MT, et al..


Tuesday, July 22, 2008
R
Ryder System Inc., had a big move today (looks like it would have made a good Over-Night Hold, perhaps we'll see some follow through tomorrow morning?).


Thursday, July 17, 2008
Dollar Index
This is a follow-up to my post yesterday regarding the U.S. Dollar index. It's beginning to look like a bearish flag formation taking shape (following the H&S pattern). Being that I don't have a forex account, nor a futures account, to take a position in this set-up I'm left trying to figure out other ways to take advantage of what might be a measured move to the downside for the U.S. Dollar Index. Here's what I came up with; First a chart of the current U.S. Dollar Index position:
Some vehicles to look into for a play on futures or forex are available through such places as invescopowershares. The first is DBV; it "is comprised of currency futures contracts on certain G10 currencies and is designed to exploit the trend that currencies associated with relatively high interest rates, on average, tend to rise in value relative to currencies associated with relatively low interest rates." Looks like a potential break-out candidate.
There's also UDN; "designed to replicate the performance of being short the US Dollar" against a basket of currencies like that of the U.S. Dollar Index.
Not as much bang for your buck as directly playing futures or forex (I really have to open one account or the other), but a viable option. If I come across any other options I'll update this post with them.



Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Broadening Wedge
It appears Biotech is attracting attention currently. Here is a Broadening Wedge pattern that's taken shape in BMRN. If for nothing else, it will be interesting to watch and see how it reacts. From patternsite.com a measured move would put a break-out/-down at +/- 12%, while keeping in mind the possibility of a partial decline (explained in the patternsite.com) before the breaking move.

Labels:
biotech,
chart patterns,
charts,
stocks,
technicals
Monday, July 14, 2008
DUG
As the price of oil rises, so has the ETF DUG (Ultra-Short Oil & Gas) recently. Check out the information included on seekingalpha.com, which also shows a chart representing the drop in U.S. & Global oil demand.
Check out the ETF for USO also which seems to be looking kinda toppy with that hanging man, followed by an inside doji bar, and a momentum divergence.


Thursday, June 26, 2008
Wednesday, June 25, 2008
update...
After my post about Apple stock yesterday, check out what today's price action did to the charts. It's fighting to stay alive that's for sure.
The 30min chart MACD diverged and went bullish while making a run at the triangles upper trend line.
The daily got support off of the 50EMA (around $174) and the MACD looks poised to cross over.
This weekly chart is looking nice if it can accelerate above the handle at $185.
The 30min chart MACD diverged and went bullish while making a run at the triangles upper trend line.



Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Is Apple Finished?
Apple stock is languishing, along with many big tech names. With three successive lower momentum highs, the stock looks like it could be gearing up to roll over and test the 200EMA back at the $156 level. Perhaps much will depend on what happens in the broad market in the short-term.
The weekly chart demonstrates a steep cup w. handle pattern which could portend higher prices in the weeks/months to come. While on the same weekly chart we see the MACD fast and slow lengths converging. A crossing of these lengths = short bias, should the lengths diverge there could be some bullish optimism.
The daily chart seems to have an extended cup w. handle pattern drawn out as well. The negative aspect of it being that the handle has become over-extended which could allude to the stock price rolling over.
Looking at an intra-day (30-min) chart we have a MACD about to cross down, along with a triangle/wedge pattern taking shape and resting on support. Perhaps the near-term price of Apple stock will correlate with the Nasdaq and whether we see more selling. But, it's not looking to bullish for Apple at this point.
The weekly chart demonstrates a steep cup w. handle pattern which could portend higher prices in the weeks/months to come. While on the same weekly chart we see the MACD fast and slow lengths converging. A crossing of these lengths = short bias, should the lengths diverge there could be some bullish optimism.



Labels:
apple,
chart patterns,
charts,
stocks,
technicals
Monday, June 23, 2008
Head & Shoulders
Three stocks to watch based on a head and shoulders top formation.
SOHU
FCX - perhaps a little less reliable as the left shoulder is higher than the right. But, the momentum highs have been less forecful.
And of course there's MA
SOHU



Wednesday, June 18, 2008
Tuesday, June 17, 2008
Friday, June 13, 2008
trades
Took five trades today, lost on 2.
CSX - long, small loss
CLF - long, gain
DO - long, gain
GS - short. loss
GS - long. gain
The first two trades of the morning were CSX and DO. CSX gapped up, retraced and looked like a bullish flag pattern, so I went long on a break of the flag. It moved slightly in my direction before reversing and I walked away with a $0.15 loss.
DO had a tight base forming this morning that coincided with it's previous day resistance, I went long on a retracement of the breakout.
CLF was a base break setup. I missed the Opening Range base break.
GS; Initially I took a short position as the general market was looking weak (and SKF was on the run). After the tweezer/rounded bottom (the rounded bottom stands out more on the 15-min chart) I went long based on the guidelines with the Klinger Oscillator.
CSX - long, small loss
CLF - long, gain
DO - long, gain
GS - short. loss
GS - long. gain
The first two trades of the morning were CSX and DO. CSX gapped up, retraced and looked like a bullish flag pattern, so I went long on a break of the flag. It moved slightly in my direction before reversing and I walked away with a $0.15 loss.
DO had a tight base forming this morning that coincided with it's previous day resistance, I went long on a retracement of the breakout.



Wednesday, June 04, 2008
Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Sunday, May 18, 2008
For Monday
FWLT (Cap. Goods, Construction Services); it either ran as far as it can (nearly touching $80) and will see some consolidation, or we can get a push to $85 with support at $80.
CRZO (Energy, Oil & Gas Operations); got a huge rush of momentum last week. It's currently basing around $74.75.
FTI (Energy, Oil Well Services & Equipment); Looking for a base break above $79.25.
CWEI (Energy, Oil & Gas Operations); This looks like a stock that has gone too far too fast. Huge momentum has given this stock a 44% gain in the past two months. Though it looks over-extended it is basing around $78.




Labels:
base and break,
charts,
for monday,
stocks,
technicals
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
COV
COV basing around $49.50 and could have a move higher. The past 3 tests of the 20-day EMA moved price higher and today saw a quick test of that 20EMA. Price finished strong considering today's late day sell-off. Volume was up big too.
Other basing stocks I'm checking out are:
BOKF
PXD
HES
LUK
EAC
BRY
DNR
FTI
CNI
CRR
ZEUS
CEDC
WLL
PBR
NBR
EGLE
SBLK
QCOM
MEA
CPX
UNT
COV
CNQ
COG
XEC

BOKF
PXD
HES
LUK
EAC
BRY
DNR
FTI
CNI
CRR
ZEUS
CEDC
WLL
PBR
NBR
EGLE
SBLK
QCOM
MEA
CPX
UNT
COV
CNQ
COG
XEC
Monday, May 12, 2008
Sunday, May 11, 2008
More for Monday
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